New One Family Home Sales The number of new homes sold began to fall a year or two before six out of the last seven recessions.
(Home sales did not fall before the 2001 recession.)
If more luxury homes sell because the stock market is hot, that would increase the median and average home prices in a city even if home prices haven’t actually changed at all.
The latest Case-Shiller numbers show that home prices were still increasing in all 20 cities covered by the index and in the U.S. as a whole, but price increases were getting smaller.
Hot: Las Vegas home prices (up 13.9% in August compared to the previous August), San Francisco (up 10.6%) and Seattle (9.6%) had the highest annual home price appreciation in the 20 cities covered by Case-Shiller.
Cold: New York (up 2.8%) tied Washington D.C. (up 2.8%) for the least home price appreciation in the 20 cities.
Home Price Momentum Las Vegas and San Francisco had by far the largest increases in home price momentum comparing their price increases the last 12 month to the previous 12 months.
Seattle's price momentum slowed the most, down 3.6%, but Seattle still had a very high 9.6% appreciation rate over the last 12 months.
U.S. home prices increased 5.8% in the last 12 months and 5.9% the previous 12 months.
Half the 20 cities covered by Case-Shiller saw increasing price momentum and half saw decreasing home price momentum.